Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Receipt #2383 — settled on Arc.

Probability

45.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2232159

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xd945b036c47375833eafb876e6278b328cdd95e8471b1f069b30696313b27b27

Trace CID

ar://8ni58szXru4WSjopa3BpC7i9MvhVvtQga1GfFw8td5CD

Arc tx

0xce88fed35ec8a75397a609019f93b5bc3594513337586e64591e473850f1945d

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:18:15 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.