Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2386 — settled on Arc.

Probability

60.2%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xbf371099f1251616438aa666d605464dda3650f00f1328c8457442088bc948c8

Trace CID

ar://B1ENtUMbsZ118kKszr5GmtbwduZ7rsZKhqS8P7EpkFTk

Arc tx

0x7de29721b6cd4e61a2e952f94638169118c13112cf730ee0f4c9f06af30365ab

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:22:37 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.