Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Receipt #2388 — settled on Arc.

Probability

33.0%

Confidence

78.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2232159

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x85b0ea8c1f4a1640d56ce0e0b3d5bf9141513617b874b8c1d216a9ca04da9d23

Trace CID

ar://7oAXhc4xACH7LDXGmboSrFDj6Vp6v5ZroQPBDPpRNoNJ

Arc tx

0x43fac539d87c69c4be4cb3f3e81dca43c518b42a901ed0fe84115d5659dc1571

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:24:51 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.