Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Receipt #2392 — settled on Arc.

Probability

43.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2232159

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x70f53c18778c93d7eae263668446a492103f44bd48c081fdded2ba1efddcdd1e

Trace CID

ar://4jpKtjKMtqXa6mbZx69W4qRkgUnLX4unK9hN9ujW8WZq

Arc tx

0x375d7c1855a3d93b2d73349e34e94bb872db4de9017e6416c27aaffd16d5673e

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:30:33 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.