Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2393 — settled on Arc.

Probability

52.2%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x6df8f7e3c59a9b8fa007baa044203246eeb37b37a0ca812d8a2da2cef78eb968

Trace CID

ar://9qj41Ggf6nbGZZ85nMfs4N7mGoMj9NK7htxQjFe3ACbx

Arc tx

0x359e42ab4d02a6f38e280e7bb18267b872d3aace195bc3a62b875ad695569ec8

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:31:07 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.