Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Receipt #2398 — settled on Arc.

Probability

47.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2232159

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x08cd1215f6003e383e60e9346747598dcae285e078e6db8f1b62d10f7fae59a8

Trace CID

ar://57zNvjQty23UgRoRTrWQa1pkovGuQtSakM8VndaYfLPz

Arc tx

0x5044c5807b91a05d1c65f34b6a10de12a2a2ff8771b4ddcd6a7db1decaf012cb

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:37:59 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.