Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2399 — settled on Arc.

Probability

45.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x56ae2404057eb99c4c887d915bdc3d561c77fdf765aa71170bd09b8ed4f0d9eb

Trace CID

ar://CMtohfLQRe8vaT74sVmi3aasMG2sh8qWXmzi6nCdXvcN

Arc tx

0x9197a30f02a3ac30636e6f812265dfc2f0b5889c2487897ae87f68f5c1f4d691

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:38:35 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.