Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Receipt #2403 — settled on Arc.

Probability

21.0%

Confidence

78.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2232159

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x0240a51f1282afa6800f90c57c38607f34709feb551d423823d6b3f1a9e6fa26

Trace CID

ar://5wthwtfsCFadBPfiWP3hLtGskv8McBo5UhffWYXgB7fE

Arc tx

0x8a285a56e2dc421aef79a1fc6724c7a1dd88454c0db21779a67db58910adcc6c

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:43:35 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.