Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Receipt #2404 — settled on Arc.

Probability

51.0%

Confidence

62.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

678937

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x6ae9e49a60626232555cf58c3c71fbc479b91b6a19f8a3b0cf7d0f39081cf5e5

Trace CID

ar://FMtF4dfE9RmmPXUgXrUuLeDbVmtqpJ7X2ayQPuvQMXbG

Arc tx

0x9684aa6500d9689f424fb9d628913cd8c44db9a7558318d9721cc5d5dbe56796

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:44:13 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.