Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2405 — settled on Arc.

Probability

49.0%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xc9e64155b46fedce9e1ef77a8d4eaa8a89711796b3515368702581ecdc9da441

Trace CID

ar://6sMBENug1ZwBvqWhNMF39myDA9w7z6A6bEZ5NbzmD8Fh

Arc tx

0xf480bf9ffe234f4dbe13c866e3d211963dee2265f0cc8e52ec8e60e72dcb7687

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:45:54 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.