Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2413 — settled on Arc.

Probability

47.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x7d68aa0db087eff5b1c2341833e0fc81b204e22cf62591cc34fe72bd96db3662

Trace CID

ar://2693BB4ZT8AsoiAgbV1RPjSazBAHppV4UAVFhM1UntbA

Arc tx

0xc5e604c7debbbe66d2b7d19b44205ab5c5652eade4127570abe295e39c9e8ec4

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:55:34 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.