Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Receipt #2414 — settled on Arc.

Probability

43.6%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2232159

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x6d3c87a044366df53dfb8e0243a0a8dc0f23476abeaaa67abacae820c28ed218

Trace CID

ar://9Jr8UEySuMC5DTBWuyjnQT2aVrDg1PW35LsqXK2si18g

Arc tx

0xdd01e0dae5920d99a6298a036399029e26fc092b7167cbe80c3471f608904396

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:57:47 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.