Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2420 — settled on Arc.

Probability

50.5%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xe498adb154b3d616dce2c33a7c0ec251eed07e2a7b591df25a084128bda7dc30

Trace CID

ar://DcoLTCnzey93wwRvwJUSJ2RHVYi4uwYm5VpJcAEAC1EU

Arc tx

0x955e084657d530433fcb5e4953c89a5083c36e4c8df18ff5c685e9657eb02540

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 10:03:17 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.