Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Receipt #2421 — settled on Arc.

Probability

30.0%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2232159

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x2717598aa1f15e47df02a69cfd4dff4e8eea1050561d2d7668a19ebb20bc076b

Trace CID

ar://5fxSRx481uUzZN8GjroBkYYLKTRcUwMJkdJcbhjPPvM9

Arc tx

0x14538a0bad97d38b781bda49b89ec8a321acc1852649161930b926857099abb7

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 10:04:47 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.