Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2426 — settled on Arc.

Probability

42.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x1b89c04ce4101d89573c0b153b72673d82c4102dcd9e891cb18b68c7700a1825

Trace CID

ar://FNtnUBY2zKDNnoiva1toXWGxiVbD4xfWYty3nGwnaR1v

Arc tx

0xbda9632462ca3b2982ebb4ee128b08a88b5c6fdd58b3453aa2f2f02908726f6c

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 10:09:38 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.