Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Receipt #2429 — settled on Arc.

Probability

62.0%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

678937

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x789ebf406e1d8802e4fefab8a2a22c5d42894a512ccfa5e3acc914f990e4b248

Trace CID

ar://A8jV5P9gZT33X5MaESKLQH1c2rxEoGGB69pN8arKgc1U

Arc tx

0x1433f22bae2fa0f4fa26bae716bbd7124e6d3e9ccccced62f39cc5861d185f31

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 10:14:04 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.