Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2430 — settled on Arc.

Probability

61.0%

Confidence

70.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xe04bbd2a64aa143467c0da2af10385989a2b5629362ef3caf8e7ca207b135120

Trace CID

ar://42vtrCmuZ5Pds87ASbogU6kTVpB3d82N1mzsUz8MSLfr

Arc tx

0x1fb6f038b0c0e845c8bc66a6b8fe9dbd1e6659195317d91fbd6a1c3915aa845a

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 10:16:45 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.