Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2434 — settled on Arc.

Probability

59.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xc4766f421381df9de7bcc1ca6cf884f53b33f3d0716544a4314ad6561d56de4f

Trace CID

ar://8RoJmDPBq8kcy4ZtubYypEF3HMkgRdM72z321WozKqSF

Arc tx

0x75c5bfcb37e190a8cd3877837edf3a3623fb4fa4673a59244a4e299b3caed46c

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 10:24:22 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.