Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Receipt #2438 — settled on Arc.

Probability

52.0%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

678937

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x6d825e8fde2303aaf16de24e4347d60d479f9362bf8de89f4e9f00885366c545

Trace CID

ar://H56PydN8LGo7xkqi4ZfcS6rBaZtTbgvn2EE2wrPQ1Zhm

Arc tx

0x989115818f0724d9017974e9a52ebc607ea8ff5cc504d99a74b3698c9ac928b0

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 10:30:40 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.