Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Receipt #2441 — settled on Arc.

Probability

50.4%

Confidence

62.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

678937

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x23236643c37c91038400605c825ed69e7db0563c72ba25bb69b756e9d719c0c4

Trace CID

ar://58XbUt9vEjs6bGpYrdjL9TyjNJ7UpDVjFRXV212YrKh9

Arc tx

0x2ba2b5845b401febfc434309731096d44b9e5e5372760bc4a317a455c45ea834

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 10:37:57 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.