Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2442 — settled on Arc.

Probability

55.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x447e5b94916c44b148b631ac309c21826e14a52138cc57c38dc63a7d056e4337

Trace CID

ar://6m9DLRifGZLUSrZP6gHWBph8j5urAow5HUnwRiAToV4W

Arc tx

0x03d42705001a20dcc18fb0ca262aac68bf048a9d4d97a0f31c09531781702fca

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 10:38:25 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.