Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Receipt #2447 — settled on Arc.

Probability

51.0%

Confidence

62.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

678937

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x447f6245947da5098f8d2201bca821a09b4fe7c55a32d855f73ebaf72e52392d

Trace CID

ar://BJu5hxidWxXBSmKbCZJhGKjraubus9WDjmZWDTUTN61S

Arc tx

0xb64864b04131ac24ff26446a1c4568c4ee7ee3b75bd3b606f8c54499a5f5f6f8

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 10:44:19 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.