Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2448 — settled on Arc.

Probability

58.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x9cda8a2e8fd5bf950a4c9c40eebd46f0d9cd0e606cef020f12fb600bffe43a17

Trace CID

ar://6tHLE7R2oYFc9pzAydnWU3mDHmhsRrJLwq9VFW7wPp5g

Arc tx

0x75fb7af54b83dfcc35c3eb1b3e1d7c0484799880415eb812651a0b53365b826e

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 10:46:06 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.