Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2453 — settled on Arc.

Probability

51.5%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x53452167d70cd41f41c1e85fcd908c0b5433c8f30fff4b00f8f19b1a57a90b17

Trace CID

ar://87DQUgS8Wj4sM96bakH97LEMmv4G2YmZVoM7VgLzbpVN

Arc tx

0x7da890f46d5b6ab9ad84a7ffe17bb62cb6d495259bf75ee4aa497abb534d7805

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 10:53:20 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.