Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?

Receipt #2454 — settled on Arc.

Probability

52.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2182421

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xcc0dec3eb9cb364a45eef69324679d2e242fdc0ef8c9ccd1f09e2d0bb0e55c7e

Trace CID

ar://HSAFH88XiTYTw8FsY4WevYnSPjzqyiodM3N9yTqx5kBs

Arc tx

0x5da97c6820c648a383ab369e02490a0085452cd78847cc84ec0e5c272604fb8e

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 10:54:01 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.