Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2458 — settled on Arc.

Probability

60.0%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x8cee5546fed131c9f93c62f470c17699be9ea743bb768e233ec5289cbe9749bb

Trace CID

ar://HM1BkuD8UvkLFWrcnbDZoFnQ8vgxzPJCyEAgXNZ9Eg3

Arc tx

0x0791035c73668d045d2f70fa6aa189dc0dfc600ab8014acdcdd724919e5c46a8

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 10:59:55 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.