Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?

Receipt #2459 — settled on Arc.

Probability

49.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2182421

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x8e15cab1133b1c863d198f002b61f4c4830e4d85b59f63fa914800dcc17e2659

Trace CID

ar://AZrScCmcufKb26oMm7QmGWp8URcyuSJD4hXvSkAYN5DG

Arc tx

0xf9d95dc3e9532149a9418cd0320023e38ee818ead36f688ec19c35fec7a95dd6

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 11:00:35 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.