Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?

Receipt #2470 — settled on Arc.

Probability

47.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2182421

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xe70062c538573b52151801d25636580c8c0783cb92c838bbd92995baf4f327c5

Trace CID

ar://BLDTpLqr8VtM4L3UUfRbhb6dp8hoNDm6mkTZA8mK8oo6

Arc tx

0x2e1a23ca6714e23a48b685b2c50d176ee771643ab554312cbf129bee012be63c

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 11:28:03 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.