Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?

Receipt #2472 — settled on Arc.

Probability

51.6%

Confidence

62.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2182421

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x09385d08b0fddc6a5b095f16eee4f1c171ef502c3dec626dc5c89b3baa066218

Trace CID

ar://6AbjoFo7VevPvpNhxCKGiCzhUnCNkE1qQFWg78K1TJQZ

Arc tx

0xa465abb4ce9823c4b967159eb5062a83b3b057edd3c49c115457bd8f18ad3cbd

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 11:34:16 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.