Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?

Receipt #2475 — settled on Arc.

Probability

43.9%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2182421

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x1797b66cebd2ab24d1e4da8cf60a88836369b0aa89bcd60b375c5f246b7efa7d

Trace CID

ar://5zUFF2ervvMojg4CkagNUcRiZbT7oyYfgyqmp25eAEk4

Arc tx

0x86ae1e96203d466632665fa458fade053cf33d4f55db51dd48cfc0d833d5ad1c

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 11:40:04 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.