Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Receipt #2481 — settled on Arc.

Probability

40.8%

Confidence

62.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2204999

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x5e525413b391ebc8cca073223d5c7c5bbf9d4c5b6cbf654c02f2e7f93f7c0375

Trace CID

ar://9RbUdsj8qCc3CFWDDv1JjpYRVLeunNBJAQBwtoubggn5

Arc tx

0xc187629e90f0e13c6a27185dd17d54fb987d51809f7edc4afdc23b83652fc7de

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 11:58:49 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.