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Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Receipt #4489 — settled on Arc.

Probability
18.0%
Confidence
70.0%
Loading reasoning trace from Irys…
Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id
1541201
Source
polymarket
Trace hash
0xf482b57c50bb38eb70d3a1e1ecc86dd95fff2068a94d528ccbbd14cb8bccb448
Trace CID
ar://GZKe12SVwbU6MtqDbv86dSL6kY4ocdxFPx9KEqRqGewo
Arc tx
0x01fad01d2e0d618369622c00424ec152c8e582e0bf21c7205764c5392d533861
Consumer
Paid
0.000000 USDC
Created
2026-05-15 06:28:33 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.