Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Receipt #4503 — settled on Arc.

Probability

28.4%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

1541201

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x4f54541ef3651e32611cb80a1716d7df124ebdcf115a22db993be2b3c982a6f4

Trace CID

ar://8gJbu11Q9JytJKvTfevAcYyCdkBwGUvQxKqYKWufHAun

Arc tx

0x2898cbfbb8e402c9c70538fa206ece2d2ba93662ecfa3a7e0d42578476443e35

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-15 06:45:04 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.