Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Receipt #4504 — settled on Arc.

Probability

24.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

1541201

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x34905ad413eba3040fd727483773a22689b0a10b129a6548de0ff7dc8aaa25a0

Trace CID

ar://ESm5VBqyoRR3s5REk7Y4BuHzepR6X2GJ3Y2bb1xsdhgm

Arc tx

0x4897d00d39c39df33dc5cd163d3dfc5b9ecadafd336f7349bca81ae9112d9b6e

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-15 06:45:10 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.