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Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Receipt #4508 — settled on Arc.

Probability
47.0%
Confidence
68.0%
Loading reasoning trace from Irys…
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Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id
1541201
Source
polymarket
Trace hash
0x719e040b69531d58fc4e936f1a24fa2407506f28eeb07b771409c99492646ab3
Trace CID
ar://8UFqLhuwVVMYG6zzZtNsWhho7SMPxiZ9DtDGPicDD6dn
Arc tx
0x21c7618fb615ad1da11bb2ed3a8130efdce2b62c2ed25793af9b0bb10861abab
Consumer
Paid
0.000000 USDC
Created
2026-05-15 06:49:19 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.