Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Receipt #4509 — settled on Arc.

Probability

35.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

1541201

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xdfcc23f11e42af6847685a50125ba4a39db369d2004cdf9c06c8bfa9987dcfaf

Trace CID

ar://3R8BQuQVxj6kjT529E5XHHHYENSXwSkaXBtWoiTfKQdt

Arc tx

0xc4997b4272eddacfad18b7b014353eb84cf80935bf4c4ecef872ce28b5d958b7

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-15 06:58:09 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.