Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Receipt #4521 — settled on Arc.

Probability

26.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

1541201

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x7aa47a3cccd84c8b2d83c190f0ed5261f906c44c67f80202d6c5eb6f826c8056

Trace CID

ar://GpNnkh9RUptH3NQSPGdxonZmopUHMf5kdX6jS9NYbKLQ

Arc tx

0x3de77c0d942cf98cbcf95f8fe092cf16e93327e2dd0fec9395a965a8aa0b099b

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-15 07:03:48 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.