Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Receipt #4524 — settled on Arc.

Probability

43.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

1541201

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x5b0b25796b825bdaa454665612e2b99d0d26ba437d7e8fe75d5f3bbe97914eba

Trace CID

ar://E3hArQ7B213RCFrCbSpiPtdVXg5CMmpXW15jPUe4juBg

Arc tx

0x044b49cda81ba07815148ac20b54909c7f28fdb0f8b6cbba6e61de6ec287cae2

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-15 07:04:36 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.