Will Nico Williams be in the Spain World Cup final squad?

Receipt #4557 — settled on Arc.

Probability

57.0%

Confidence

55.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-NWIL

Source

kalshi

Trace hash

0x7d789374539fde19da988b27dc1e92c85a72e107d8de6ceb2f2d020ff9457c08

Trace CID

ar://7itumh2QPkWmC7rDM4jWqHz2akcEbmcjamTngw1rKjd2

Arc tx

0x9b9026df20523f8e94459d3612406b5a2362dc31a4bf330cdebc559d8b874755

Consumer

0xa0f106e569027f315c3cee2f3dd39f8eb4391a80

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-18 12:02:28 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.