Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Receipt #4565 — settled on Arc.

Probability

44.0%

Confidence

55.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2159726

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x32eb9d005ed623ce75c995d446faed57b7539d045e3b0833247f21839fd6495e

Trace CID

ar://EMpSTVrRAwYuZMvCaHG5u9JDp7nchCy15BPr1DwMPkda

Arc tx

0xe6538124081b04c7f2f3b6c1b7fdeb2265121397f5cfe06f4ecfd9730bb2e0fe

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-23 08:38:23 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.