Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 23?

Receipt #4566 — settled on Arc.

Probability

72.0%

Confidence

80.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2278056

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xea2350b4dbaa476b6e5096d883222e835eda5a13e21058354dce8c8d3a0228d5

Trace CID

ar://8qEv5gSgEbTtkMNaSJHQHyyYpF95MWit4YiFHMHbJked

Arc tx

0x219b2f11e0fe5ff9dc97eb9186d54d6b770b0d5f4311dc1380f0de3297f4785e

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-23 09:09:02 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.