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Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 23?

Receipt #4567 — settled on Arc.

Probability
53.0%
Confidence
55.0%
Loading reasoning trace from Irys…
Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id
2278056
Source
polymarket
Trace hash
0xbfde92724596bc7c52454857718f5cc3ef850770283bcd29bb56efd024a853f4
Trace CID
ar://Bsd6TkXRASwHEUpCeyUw8zZMiT4sABY993bJyXxztL7P
Arc tx
0x1e4fe58f5b8629052bd263fec315fe47b6b4bbddba3d2fd3ea6783259017d297
Consumer
Paid
0.000000 USDC
Created
2026-05-23 09:39:36 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.