Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?

Receipt #4573 — settled on Arc.

Probability

54.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2308202

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x2e684b35a3533ec53430094b7a30ffc7ddf09b89d1f1a0595d9870179497aa1f

Trace CID

ar://4W3Sc6wFKYchYSWsGuxbJ8XrpmamHQd4pXSwWg1eJg2r

Arc tx

0xe024c02df54cfbb24351ed5548d52b236ed712460001892e8cb5237ffa009572

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-23 13:16:28 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.