Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?

Receipt #4584 — settled on Arc.

Probability

58.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

KXRECNCH-26-JUL03

Source

kalshi

Trace hash

0xafea20014318ff45b5903dfac75e587ea125113feec9eea7c5258c0ccd0e6658

Trace CID

ar://D4rJRAkMo4uGDM4jSxHPMJs22VBifS6MHh7t4dpcoCy4

Arc tx

0x543360db4aee51f9e7253d666a6492c8b30304e2c607b210725f3ed9c3ad58b7

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-03 10:02:38 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.