Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?

Receipt #4585 — settled on Arc.

Probability

51.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

KXRECNCH-26-JUL03

Source

kalshi

Trace hash

0x429ca646b82c6a3549911443e941335747c3d14ed952c19a5eebd8f3e42b2699

Trace CID

ar://Edqzp1sjf5ci42dZ8W7kykWBeXvtSEmZ7TKXVTCAYvai

Arc tx

0x27c37f943468451dfb399e6263bfc4831e330b3b50acef302fcd75e202cf0214

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-03 10:25:31 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.