Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?

Receipt #4588 — settled on Arc.

Probability

65.0%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

KXRECNCH-26-JUL03

Source

kalshi

Trace hash

0xa525040c59af2f45447281a83d6bf0e42b4a8c3d45cad10e549bae27b36fd9aa

Trace CID

ar://14ZvYMETwK2oqxiXJdBS9sBn3QrXoBLyFNHXZJEn6Kwy

Arc tx

0xbfa35cd44885b3566879d1397f2f2c84e377a27376a0dd16d7586799a195ecdb

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-03 12:32:35 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.