Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?

Receipt #4589 — settled on Arc.

Probability

53.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

KXRECNCH-26-JUL03

Source

kalshi

Trace hash

0xb9f2b49bb64148a54cb7da71252d92e9bf5393cdd768043c8f11cdb079d9fcf4

Trace CID

ar://HoeDSRWqXgQCD3mHZjzzyoUmdPi7abdoENXsnooVM2DX

Arc tx

0xe3b1357070e77af685d9b2c4dad72f734cbd6dd00c62817a7fab6934a463c217

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-03 13:04:03 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.