Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?

Receipt #4590 — settled on Arc.

Probability

55.0%

Confidence

62.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

KXRECNCH-26-JUL03

Source

kalshi

Trace hash

0xa0e8235fcca4aead72d51628a77f82d21b0bb8e3ad7004f898a9beb0aa04de2d

Trace CID

ar://vTjgnBkSsR65fwrUpUy9SuaA1UKTMa1GChx1QbH58hK

Arc tx

0x045d12d38758f7ff77e9dff2fc37139d863dbf9db199687999ad429e6f5b440f

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-03 13:35:43 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.