US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Receipt #4591 — settled on Arc.

Probability

52.0%

Confidence

58.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2354003

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x0eb228459d526deed067b7eaca23449c940bffb5eb99f7e08f2cddc1990700b0

Trace CID

ar://4WAxRK1So4Hh1fqC8FkukkiTruo1g96o2Mt7CDdhedsG

Arc tx

0xd153bddbb00af40609dc745533705a4caa2b558cb0c03f16dc1a64a5c6345a78

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-03 14:07:08 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.