US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Receipt #4592 — settled on Arc.

Probability

52.0%

Confidence

62.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2354003

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x4ec840d7fefee110f5ff4aed3370627b81d8c549174f832ca38d7a20dd5fca6d

Trace CID

ar://Hbewbkd9PCVK9rTHa7GmwA2iTqnJBdJbeFK4CFqiAFUx

Arc tx

0x6d249677bbcf20b395081254a23a647afdcad4711f657f02f65c51f8bb048fcb

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-03 15:10:54 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.